Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001749 0.001825 0.001903 0.001990 0.002086 0.002187 0.002303
2025-06-15 0.001638 0.001747 0.001865 0.002003 0.002162 0.002341 0.002561
2025-06-22 0.001536 0.001665 0.001808 0.001982 0.002191 0.002438 0.002759
2025-06-29 0.001452 0.001592 0.001752 0.001952 0.002201 0.002507 0.002925
2025-07-06 0.001391 0.001541 0.001715 0.001939 0.002225 0.002591 0.003117
2025-07-13 0.001312 0.001461 0.001639 0.001869 0.002170 0.002565 0.003151
2025-07-20 0.001272 0.001428 0.001614 0.001862 0.002194 0.002642 0.003338
2025-07-27 0.001246 0.001409 0.001607 0.001875 0.002242 0.002755 0.003594
2025-08-03 0.001212 0.001377 0.001581 0.001861 0.002252 0.002815 0.003772
2025-08-10 0.001193 0.001364 0.001578 0.001876 0.002303 0.002937 0.004073
2025-08-17 0.001165 0.001338 0.001557 0.001866 0.002315 0.003001 0.004282
2025-08-24 0.001135 0.001309 0.001529 0.001844 0.002309 0.003033 0.004437
2025-08-31 0.001125 0.001305 0.001536 0.001872 0.002381 0.003203 0.004909
2025-09-07 0.001110 0.001294 0.001533 0.001886 0.002431 0.003344 0.005361
2025-09-14 0.001085 0.001269 0.001510 0.001868 0.002431 0.003394 0.005624
2025-09-21 0.001058 0.001240 0.001481 0.001841 0.002414 0.003412 0.005813
2025-09-28 0.001038 0.001221 0.001463 0.001830 0.002420 0.003474 0.006135
2025-10-05 0.001002 0.001179 0.001413 0.001767 0.002339 0.003360 0.005944
2025-10-12 0.000986 0.001163 0.001400 0.001761 0.002351 0.003429 0.006300
2025-10-19 0.000977 0.001157 0.001399 0.001772 0.002393 0.003564 0.006910
2025-10-26 0.000961 0.001140 0.001383 0.001760 0.002394 0.003614 0.007271
2025-11-02 0.000954 0.001136 0.001384 0.001773 0.002441 0.003767 0.008087
2025-11-09 0.000940 0.001121 0.001370 0.001764 0.002447 0.003829 0.008597